<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><rss version="2.0"><channel><title>Foreseez blog</title><link>https://foreseez.com/blog</link><description>Field notes on how the future gets priced. Examples use illustrative data.</description><item><title>Same question. Different answers.</title><link>https://foreseez.com/blog/same-question-different-answers</link><guid>https://foreseez.com/blog/same-question-different-answers</guid><description>Three venues can price the same event 7 points apart. Some of that gap is opinion. A surprising amount of it is the fine print.</description></item><item><title>What 62% actually means</title><link>https://foreseez.com/blog/what-62-percent-actually-means</link><guid>https://foreseez.com/blog/what-62-percent-actually-means</guid><description>A probability is a promise about many worlds, not one. Here is how to read it, test it and score it.</description></item><item><title>If this, then that</title><link>https://foreseez.com/blog/if-this-then-that</link><guid>https://foreseez.com/blog/if-this-then-that</guid><description>Markets do not move alone. Conditional odds show how one outcome changes another, and why long chains of likely events are rarely likely.</description></item><item><title>Anatomy of a CPI morning</title><link>https://foreseez.com/blog/anatomy-of-a-cpi-morning</link><guid>https://foreseez.com/blog/anatomy-of-a-cpi-morning</guid><description>One number comes out at 8:30. Three markets react. Here is how it unfolds, minute by minute and then second by second, and what it says about how prices really move.</description></item><item><title>Three prices, one number</title><link>https://foreseez.com/blog/three-prices-one-number</link><guid>https://foreseez.com/blog/three-prices-one-number</guid><description>Every event on Foreseez shows a single consensus. Here is how three venues become one number, and why a plain average would mislead you.</description></item><item><title>The half-life of news</title><link>https://foreseez.com/blog/the-half-life-of-news</link><guid>https://foreseez.com/blog/the-half-life-of-news</guid><description>Some news moves a market for an hour. Some moves it for good. A look at how different kinds of news fade, built from sample data.</description></item><item><title>One web of markets</title><link>https://foreseez.com/blog/one-web-of-markets</link><guid>https://foreseez.com/blog/one-web-of-markets</guid><description>No market moves alone. Map how 24 of them move together and a handful of hidden themes explains most of what happens.</description></item><item><title>What a price really costs</title><link>https://foreseez.com/blog/what-a-price-really-costs</link><guid>https://foreseez.com/blog/what-a-price-really-costs</guid><description>The number on the screen is the last trade. What you would pay depends on the orders behind it. A hands-on guide to reading an order book.</description></item></channel></rss>