July 2026 U.S. Jobs Report (BLS Employment Situation) / Prediction
Will the BLS-reported headline nonfarm payrolls change for July 2026 exceed the median forecast in Reuters' pre-release poll of economists?
Open · Closes in 46h · Aug 7, 2026, 12:15 PM
Reuters' economist survey is a standard, publicly reported consensus benchmark used to judge whether a jobs report is a "beat" or a "miss."
Outcomes
Crowd Forecast shows the Starting Forecast until Calls begin.
- Yes50%
- No50%
Make your Call
Make your CallResolution rule
Resolves Yes if the BLS-reported seasonally adjusted headline nonfarm payrolls change for July 2026 is higher than the median forecast among economists in Reuters' pre-release poll, as published by Reuters before the release; No if it is equal to or below that median.
Starting Forecast source: editorial prior
- https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.htm
- https://www.reuters.com/markets/us/