Tennessee 2026 Primary Election — Governor & U.S. Senate / Prediction
Will the Republican primary for the U.S. Senate seat in Tennessee be decided by a margin of 20 percentage points or more between the top two finishers?
Open · Closes in 33h · Aug 6, 2026, 11:00 PM
As with the gubernatorial primary, this measures competitiveness rather than a named winner.
Outcomes
Crowd Forecast shows the Starting Forecast until Calls begin.
- Yes50%
- No50%
Make your Call
Make your CallResolution rule
Resolves Yes if the Tennessee Secretary of State's certified results (or, pending certification, its official unofficial primary-night results) show a margin of 20.0 percentage points or more between the top two finishers in the Republican U.S. Senate primary; No if the margin is under 20.0 points.
Starting Forecast source: editorial prior
- https://sos.tn.gov/elections/results
- https://apnews.com/hub/tennessee-elections