What will the July unemployment rate be?

First-published seasonally adjusted civilian unemployment rate in BLS Table A-1 at one-decimal precision; no later revisions. Map into the Outcome bins above. Void if absent by 2026-08-14T23:59:59Z. The primary source controls; use the named fallback only after 24 consecutive hours of primary unavailability. If both remain unavailable for 72 hours after this item's terminal deadline, or conflict materially without issuer reconciliation within seven calendar days, void. Later corrections change a result only where this item says so; otherwise the first published official record controls.

Starting Forecast source: Equal prior fallback for launch draft.

1. https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm
2. https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm