polymarketfomc
Fed Decision in September?
68.5%
No change
+1.0% 24h
Vol 24h $1.2MLiq $3.9M
polymarketEnds Jul 1, 2027
Iran leadership change by...?
24.5%
June 30, 2027
Vol 24h $386.5Liq $49.2K
Yes
29.0%345.9
28.0%2.5K
27.0%1.1K
26.0%5.3K
25.0%4.3K
spread 1.0%
24.0%8K
23.0%6.8K
22.0%8K
21.0%30.7K
20.0%478.8
No
80.0%478.8
79.0%30.7K
78.0%8K
77.0%6.8K
76.0%8K
spread 1.0%
75.0%4.3K
74.0%5.3K
73.0%1.1K
72.0%2.5K
71.0%345.9
March 31
Yes 0.0%
ClosedNot accepting
0.0%
December 31
Yes 15.5%
15.5%
March 13
Yes 0.0%
ClosedNot accepting
0.0%
April 30
Yes 0.0%
ClosedNot accepting
0.0%
May 31
Yes 0.0%
ClosedNot accepting
0.0%
June 30
Yes 0.0%
ClosedNot accepting
0.0%
July 31
Yes 0.0%
ClosedNot accepting
0.0%
September 30
Yes 3.5%
3.5%
June 30, 2027
Bid 24.0% · Ask 25.0% · spread 1.0%
24.5%
August 31
Yes 0.7%
0.7%
November 30
Yes 9.5%
9.5%
August 15
Yes 0.0%
ClosedNot accepting
0.0%
August 22
Yes 0.1%
0.1%
October 31
Yes 7.5%
7.5%
Resolution context
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe. An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Comments
to comment.
No comments yet.
Related markets
Live books in the same category.
