polymarketUnited States
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
22.9%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
+4.7% 24h
Vol 24h $1.4MLiq $79.5M
polymarketEnds Aug 28, 2026
What will Kevin Warsh say during his speech at Jackson Hole?
70.0%
Challenge
Vol 24h $56.5Liq $3.3K
Yes
87.0%407.7
86.0%122.3
73.0%349
72.0%132.7
71.0%257.9
spread 2.0%
69.0%465.3
68.0%480.7
67.0%566.4
66.0%990.4
63.0%20
No
37.0%20
34.0%990.4
33.0%566.4
32.0%480.7
31.0%465.3
spread 2.0%
29.0%257.9
28.0%132.7
27.0%349
14.0%122.3
13.0%407.7
Independent / Independence
Yes 54.5%
54.5%
2008 / Financial Crisis
Yes 49.0%
49.0%
Good Day
Yes 35.5%
35.5%
Good Morning
Yes 63.0%
63.0%
Trump
Yes 4.3%
4.3%
Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency
Yes 16.5%
16.5%
Gold
Yes 10.0%
10.0%
Too Late
Yes 34.0%
34.0%
-No Qualifying Event-
Yes 2.5%
2.5%
Framework
Yes 69.5%
69.5%
Prediction / Predictive
Yes 29.0%
29.0%
CapEx / Capital Expenditure
Yes 51.5%
51.5%
Regime
Yes 56.5%
56.5%
Integrity
Yes 25.0%
25.0%
Productivity
Yes 76.5%
76.5%
Challenge
Bid 69.0% · Ask 71.0% · spread 2.0%
70.0%
Bank / Asset 10+ times
Yes 44.0%
44.0%
Task Force 5+ times
Yes 36.5%
36.5%
Stable 5+ times
Yes 19.0%
19.0%
AI / Artificial Intelligence 3+ times
Yes 66.5%
66.5%
Resolution context
Kevin Warsh is scheduled to deliver a speech at the Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium on August 28, 2026, 10 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during his appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by August 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source is the audio/video of the listed event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
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