polymarketFinance
Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
88.5%
↑$900B
+3.0% 24h
Vol 24h $4.2KLiq $122.9K
polymarketEnds Jul 1, 2027
What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
22.8%
$1.25T–$1.5T
Vol 24h $343.4Liq $3.7K
Yes
23.9%33.3
23.8%200
23.6%0.8
23.2%348.1
23.1%5
spread 0.7%
22.4%462.5
22.0%34
21.9%200
21.7%139
21.4%101
No
78.6%101
78.3%139
78.1%200
78.0%34
77.6%462.5
spread 0.7%
76.9%5
76.8%348.1
76.4%0.8
76.2%200
76.1%33.3
<$1T
Yes 8.6%
8.6%
$1.25T–$1.5T
Bid 22.4% · Ask 23.1% · spread 0.7%
22.8%
$1.0T–$1.25T
Yes 18.0%
18.0%
$1.5T–$1.75T
Yes 14.8%
14.8%
$1.75T–$2.0T
Yes 20.0%
20.0%
$2.0T–$2.25T
Yes 5.8%
5.8%
$2.5T+
Yes 4.9%
4.9%
$2.25T–$2.5T
Yes 3.9%
3.9%
Resolution context
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price. The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered. Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered. If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range. If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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