polymarketfomc
Fed Decision in September?
68.5%
No change
+1.0% 24h
Vol 24h $1.2MLiq $3.9M
polymarketEnds Jan 1, 2027
Will Argentina dollarize by...?
6.3%
December 31, 2026
Vol 24h $26.7Liq $2.2K
Yes
8.0%105
7.6%75
7.5%74.7
7.3%150
7.2%37.6
spread 1.8%
5.4%61.3
5.3%150
5.1%20
5.0%20
4.5%125
No
95.5%125
95.0%20
94.9%20
94.7%150
94.6%61.3
spread 1.8%
92.8%37.6
92.7%150
92.5%74.7
92.4%75
92.0%105
June 30, 2026
Yes 0.0%
ClosedNot accepting
0.0%
December 31, 2026
Bid 5.4% · Ask 7.2% · spread 1.8%
6.3%
Resolution context
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Argentina begins to peg its currency to the United States dollar (USD), or adopts the United States dollar as official legal tender, June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement that dollarization will begin will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" - for this market to resolve to "Yes", dollarization must have actually begun. Note: a peg does not need to be 1:1 to USD. This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting indicating either of the listed scenarios have begun.
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