Live Polymarket tape: moves, liquidity, and watched books.
| Proposition | Now | Window start | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10.0% $366.3K | 77.5% | −55.0 pp | |
| 99.4% $552K | 50.0% | +49.4 pp | |
| 99.3% $220.5K | 50.0% | +49.3 pp | |
| 56.6% $55.2K | 16.5% | +40.0 pp | |
Fed Decision in September? 25 bps increase | 89.5% $18.1M | 53.5% | +35.0 pp |
| Politics | Sports | Crypto | Culture | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 1.00 | 0.04 | 0.03 | 0.42 |
| Sports | 0.04 | 1.00 | 0.72 | 0.48 |
| Crypto | 0.03 | 0.72 | 1.00 | -0.17 |
| Culture | 0.42 | 0.48 | -0.17 | 1.00 |
| Sep 9 | Sep 10 | Sep 11 | Sep 12 | Sep 13 | Sep 14 | Sep 15 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | |||||||
| Sports | |||||||
| Crypto | |||||||
| Culture |
| Event | Proposition | Now | Move | Volume | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed Decision in September? | 25 bps increase | 89.5% $18.1M | +35.0 pp | $177.8M | $13.5M |
| Deportivo Alavés vs. Valencia CF | Draw (Deportivo Alavés vs. Valencia CF) | 50.5% $4.5M | +17.0 pp | $4.5M | $359.7K |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 6.5% $3.1M | −8.0 pp | $19.8M | $362.5K |
| Elche CF vs. Real Madrid CF | Real Madrid CF | 81.5% $2.1M | +4.0 pp | $2.4M | $5M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | 19.2% $1.1M | +0.6 pp | $1.3B | $77.3M |
| Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election? | United Russia (ER) | 76.5% $1.1M | +1.0 pp | $28.9M | $2.7M |
| Liverpool FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC | Liverpool FC | 64.5% $983.4K | +13.5 pp | $995.5K | $272.4K |
| Al Ain FC vs. Al Nassr Club | Draw (Al Ain FC vs. Al Nassr Club) | 0.1% $858K | −18.9 pp | $860.4K | $481.2K |
What price will Bitcoin hit on September 15?
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target feder…
Markets impacted: 25 bps increase +35¢
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act of 2025 (H.R.3633) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congr…
Markets impacted: Yes −8¢
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president…
Markets impacted: Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez +1¢
to watch books.