polymarketfomc
Fed Decision in September?
68.5%
No change
+1.0% 24h
Vol 24h $1.1MLiq $3.8M
polymarketEnds Sep 1, 2026
Elon Musk # tweets August 25 - September 1, 2026?
2.8%
120-139
Vol 24h $298.3Liq $9.1K
Yes
4.4%100
3.5%200
3.4%300
3.3%1.7K
3.2%700
spread 0.9%
2.3%737.3
2.2%700
2.1%750
2.0%28.5K
1.9%200
No
98.1%200
98.0%28.5K
97.9%750
97.8%700
97.7%737.3
spread 0.9%
96.8%700
96.7%1.7K
96.6%300
96.5%200
95.6%100
160-179
Yes 7.5%
7.5%
<20
Yes 0.1%
0.1%
120-139
Bid 2.3% · Ask 3.2% · spread 0.9%
2.8%
200-219
Yes 11.5%
11.5%
60-79
Yes 0.1%
0.1%
140-159
Yes 4.5%
4.5%
40-59
Yes 0.1%
0.1%
320-339
Yes 3.6%
3.6%
340-359
Yes 2.3%
2.3%
360-379
Yes 1.9%
1.9%
380-399
Yes 1.6%
1.6%
400-419
Yes 1.5%
1.5%
420-439
Yes 0.9%
0.9%
440-459
Yes 1.0%
1.0%
460-479
Yes 1.0%
1.0%
480-499
Yes 0.9%
0.9%
20-39
Yes 0.1%
0.1%
80-99
Yes 0.5%
0.5%
100-119
Yes 1.1%
1.1%
220-239
Yes 13.5%
13.5%
280-299
Yes 7.5%
7.5%
180-199
Yes 11.5%
11.5%
260-279
Yes 10.5%
10.5%
240-259
Yes 12.5%
12.5%
300-319
Yes 5.5%
5.5%
500+
Yes 0.5%
0.5%
Resolution context
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 25 12:00 PM ET to September 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
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