polymarketfomc
Fed Decision in September?
68.5%
No change
0.0% 24h
Vol 24h $1.1MLiq $3.9M
polymarketEnds Oct 29, 2026
Fed rate hike by...?
0.0%
April Meeting
Vol 24h $7.8KLiq $771K
Yes
No book for this outcome.
No
No book for this outcome.
June Meeting
Yes 0.0%
ClosedNot accepting
0.0%
September Meeting
Yes 31.5%
31.5%
April Meeting
Bid 0.0% · Ask — · spread —
ClosedNot accepting
0.0%
July Meeting
Yes 0.0%
ClosedNot accepting
0.0%
October Meeting
Yes 40.5%
40.5%
Resolution context
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No". Emergency rate hikes will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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