
No book for this outcome.
No book for this outcome.
Yes 0.0%
Yes 0.0%
Yes 0.0%
Yes 65.5%
Yes 36.0%
Yes 0.0%
Yes 1.3%
Yes 0.0%
Bid 0.0% · Ask — · spread —
Yes 0.0%
Yes 20.5%
Yes 45.5%
Yes 59.5%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-6 model is made available to the general public by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes," GPT-6 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public. GPT-6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-6 (e.g. ChatGPT-6o would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to GPT-5, similar to the progression from GPT-3 to GPT-4. Products labeled as GPT-5.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
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