polymarketAI
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by...?
4.5%
December 31
0.0% 24h
Vol 24h $15.1KLiq $48.9K
polymarketEnds Dec 31, 2026
Leopold Aschenbrenner charged in 2026?
6.0%
Yes
Vol 24h —Liq $5K
Yes
12.0%1K
10.0%722
9.0%1.2K
8.0%401
7.0%415
spread 2.0%
5.0%2.7K
4.0%381
3.0%2.5K
2.0%4.2K
1.0%3K
No
99.0%3K
98.0%4.2K
97.0%2.5K
96.0%381
95.0%2.7K
spread 2.0%
93.0%415
92.0%401
91.0%1.2K
90.0%722
88.0%1K
Yes
Bid 5.0% · Ask 7.0% · spread 2.0%
6.0%
Resolution context
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Leopold Aschenbrenner between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
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