polymarketfomc
Fed Decision in September?
68.5%
No change
+1.0% 24h
Vol 24h $1.2MLiq $3.9M
polymarketEnds Apr 30, 2027
Next French Presidential Election
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Yes
Vol 24h $0Liq $0
Yes
No book for this outcome.
No
No book for this outcome.
Marine Le Pen
Yes 31.6%
31.6%
Éric Zemmour
Yes 0.8%
0.8%
David Lisnard
Yes 2.9%
2.9%
Laurent Wauquiez
Yes 0.1%
0.1%
Gabriel Attal
Yes 3.5%
3.5%
François Hollande
Yes 3.3%
3.3%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
Yes 12.5%
12.5%
Fabien Roussel
Yes 0.1%
0.1%
Dominique de Villepin
Yes 1.7%
1.7%
François Asselineau
Yes 0.1%
0.1%
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan
Yes 0.1%
0.1%
Valérie Pécresse
Yes 0.1%
0.1%
Élisabeth Borne
Yes 0.1%
0.1%
Jean Castex
Yes 0.3%
0.3%
Carole Delga
Yes 0.1%
0.1%
Manuel Bompard
Yes 0.1%
0.1%
Other
Yes —
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Juan Branco
Yes 0.3%
0.3%
Sébastien Lecornu
Yes 1.8%
1.8%
Lucie Castets
Yes 0.1%
0.1%
François Baroin
Yes 0.1%
0.1%
Yes
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Jordan Bardella
Yes 2.8%
2.8%
Édouard Philippe
Yes 25.5%
25.5%
Xavier Bertrand
Yes 0.1%
0.1%
François Ruffin
Yes 0.1%
0.1%
Bruno Retailleau
Yes 2.1%
2.1%
Raphaël Glucksmann
Yes 2.5%
2.5%
Marine Tondelier
Yes 0.1%
0.1%
Olivier Faure
Yes 0.1%
0.1%
Ségolène Royal
Yes 0.1%
0.1%
Clémentine Autain
Yes 0.1%
0.1%
Michel Barnier
Yes 0.3%
0.3%
François Bayrou
Yes 0.1%
0.1%
Yaël Braun-Pivet
Yes 0.1%
0.1%
Gérald Darmanin
Yes 0.1%
0.1%
Bernard Cazeneuve
Yes 0.4%
0.4%
Mathilde Panot
Yes 0.1%
0.1%
Sarah Knafo
Yes 1.8%
1.8%
Clémence Guetté
Yes 0.1%
0.1%
Karim Bouamrane
Yes 0.1%
0.1%
Yannick Jadot
Yes 0.1%
0.1%
Marion Maréchal
Yes 0.1%
0.1%
Yes
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Resolution context
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
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