Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Only Kalshi is on this claim. The other venue has no matching market in our catalog. Displayed YES moved −1.0% on the 24h chart. Kalshi $101

• A
  At least 50%

  10.5%
• A
  At least 46%

  23.5%
• A
  At least 48%