crypto
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
- 24h
- −0.1%
- Vol 24h
- $4.9M
- Liquidity
- $58.2K
- Closes
- 107 days left
Order book
Yes
4.9%10
4.7%6.7K
4.6%5K
4.5%3.5K
4.4%10.2K
spread 0.1%
4.3%8.9K
4.2%9.9K
4.1%2.3K
4.0%5.1K
3.9%20
No
96.1%20
96.0%5.1K
95.9%2.3K
95.8%9.9K
95.7%8.9K
spread 0.1%
95.6%10.2K
95.5%3.5K
95.4%5K
95.3%6.7K
95.1%10
Yes
4.9%10
4.7%6.7K
4.6%5K
4.5%3.5K
4.4%10.2K
spread 0.1%
4.3%8.9K
4.2%9.9K
4.1%2.3K
4.0%5.1K
3.9%20
No
96.1%20
96.0%5.1K
95.9%2.3K
95.8%9.9K
95.7%8.9K
spread 0.1%
95.6%10.2K
95.5%3.5K
95.4%5K
95.3%6.7K
95.1%10
Why it's moving
Only Polymarket is on this claim. The other venue has no matching market in our catalog. Displayed YES moved −0.1% on the 24h chart. Polymarket $4.9M
Related markets
No other claims on this event yet.
View allDetails
Resolution context
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any wallet labeled as belonging to Satoshi Nakamoto on Arkham’s Intel Explorer shows an “Outflow” or “Swaps” transaction at any time between January 9, 2026, 1:00 PM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Arkham’s Intel Explorer, specifically the entity page for Satoshi Nakamoto available at https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/entity/satoshi-nakamoto If Arkham becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible sources.
- Closes
- Jan 1, 2027
- Category
- crypto
Standard metrics
Liq vol ratio
7.2542
Open interest
$1,432,435
Competitive
—
1h price
0.00%
24h high0.10%
4.5%
24h low0.00%
4.3%
1h vol0.00%
$0
4h vol0.00%
$65
24h vol0.16%
$8,021
Advanced metrics
Turnover ratio
0.1379
Volume share
100.00%
Resolution urgency
0.0092
Adjusted volatility
0.0009
Trend strength
0.8585
Depth-stress ratio
0.8425
Volume turnover
0.0056
Price momentum
-0.0008
Trend slope
-0.0015
I.P. bias
-0.4565
Volume momentum
1.4730
Reversal rate
0.0000