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Politics

Live Politics books.

polymarketUnited States

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

21.4%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
+3.2% 24h
Vol 24h $1.1MLiq $80.1M
polymarketfomc

Fed Decision in September?

68.5%
No change
+1.0% 24h
Vol 24h $1.1MLiq $4M
polymarketCulture

Elon Musk # tweets August 18 - August 25, 2026?

22.2%
320-339
+5.9% 24h
Vol 24h $918.6KLiq $377K
polymarketIran

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

97.4%
August 25
+2.1% 24h
Vol 24h $572.2KLiq $645K
polymarketPolitics

Brazil Presidential Election

62.5%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
−1.0% 24h
Vol 24h $551.9KLiq $13.2M
polymarketUnited States

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

49.0%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Vol 24h $392.8KLiq $57.3M
polymarketPresident

Presidential Election Winner 2028

22.3%
JD Vance
+1.8% 24h
Vol 24h $388.2KLiq $63.1M
polymarketCrypto

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

24.5%
Yes
−1.0% 24h
Vol 24h $308.6KLiq $375.9K
polymarketOil

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by...?

0.4%
August 31
0.0% 24h
Vol 24h $270KLiq $571.8K
polymarketPolitics

Iran leadership change by...?

24.5%
June 30, 2027
Vol 24h $227.6KLiq $551.4K
polymarketIran

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

66.1%
December 31
+1.9% 24h
Vol 24h $220.2KLiq $1.1M
polymarketPolitics

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

69.5%
United Russia (ER)
−1.0% 24h
Vol 24h $184.3KLiq $2.4M
polymarketEthiopia

Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

96.9%
Abiy Ahmed
−0.1% 24h
Vol 24h $154KLiq $165.6K
polymarketPolitics

South Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary Winner

67.5%
Darline Graham Nordone
−4.8% 24h
Vol 24h $149KLiq $846.7K
polymarketCulture

Elon Musk # tweets August 21 - August 28, 2026?

13.5%
240-259
+1.0% 24h
Vol 24h $135.6KLiq $220.8K
polymarketChina

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

11.5%
Yes
−1.0% 24h
Vol 24h $113.9KLiq $237.2K
polymarketPolitics

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

18.5%
December 31
−2.5% 24h
Vol 24h $104.4KLiq $562.7K
polymarketCulture

Elon Musk # tweets August 22 - August 24, 2026?

41.0%
40-64
0.0% 24h
Vol 24h $101.3KLiq $36.4K
polymarketOil

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?

5.5%
Yes
0.0% 24h
Vol 24h $96.5KLiq $817.8K
polymarketFrench Election

Next French Presidential Election

31.6%
Marine Le Pen
−0.5% 24h
Vol 24h $83.5KLiq $15.4M
polymarketMilitary Strikes

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

16.5%
Yes
0.0% 24h
Vol 24h $80.3KLiq $1M
polymarketAliens

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

3.9%
December 31
0.0% 24h
Vol 24h $73.9KLiq $919.3K
polymarketPolitics

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

3.8%
Yes
−0.1% 24h
Vol 24h $64.2KLiq $574.1K
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