politicsCloses Oct 4, 202623 claims
Brazil Presidential Election
Tarcisio de Freitas
0.1%
Renan Santos
2.3%
lower YES
1.8%
Eduardo Bolsonaro
lower YES
0.1%
0.1%
Ratinho Júnior
0.1%
Separate contracts — terms differ
Explore
One real-world question. Polymarket and Kalshi legs side by side. Paper trade the labeled venue price.
politicsCloses Oct 4, 202632 claims
Will Tarcisio de Freitas finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
politicsCloses Oct 4, 202634 claims
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place
politicsCloses Oct 4, 202626 claims
São Paulo Governor Election Winner
Tarcísio de Freitas
lower YES
97.4%
98.5%
Kim Kataguiri
lower YES
0.1%
3.0%
Fernando Haddad
lower YES
2.0%
3.0%
Erika Hilton
lower YES
0.4%
2.5%
Separate contracts — terms differ
politicsCloses Oct 4, 202626 claims
Ceará Governor Election Winner
Ciro Gomes
lower YES
67.0%
67.5%
Elmano de Freitas
33.5%
lower YES
31.5%
Eduardo Girão
lower YES
0.4%
3.0%
Capitão Wagner
0.1%
Separate contracts — terms differ
politicsCloses Oct 17, 202614 claims
Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner
Separate contracts — terms differ
politicsCloses Dec 31, 202638 claims
Next Prime Minister of Romania?
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
6.5%
Sorin Grindeanu
8.1%
lower YES
5.5%
Eugen Tomac
lower YES
17.3%
26.5%
Alexandru Nazare
lower YES
46.3%
57.0%
Separate contracts — terms differ
politicsCloses Dec 31, 202623 claims
Who will succeed Netanyahu as Prime Minister of Israel?
Naftali Bennett
lower YES
7.5%
10.2%
Amir Ohana
0.3%
Avigdor Lieberman
lower YES
4.3%
6.9%
Yair Golan
lower YES
0.4%
0.6%
Separate contracts — terms differ
politicsCloses Dec 31, 202640 claims
Which bills will become law in 2026?
cryptoCloses Jan 1, 20276 claims
When will Bitcoin hit $150k?
cryptoCloses Jan 1, 202727 claims
Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
politicsCloses Oct 24, 202715 claims
Argentina Presidential Election Winner
politicsCloses Nov 7, 202881 claims
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
politics$10K
Will it be reported by Nebraska Secretary of State that the Nebraska Secretary of State certifies Cindy Burbank as a candidate to be placed on the November 3, 2026 statewide general-election ballot for U.S. Senate before Sep 16, 2026?
4%
Closes Sep 16, 2026
politics$3.3K
Will the number of AIPAC PAC-endorsed candidates who lose their primary be at least 10 between Apr 10, 2026 and Sep 16, 2026?
6%
Closes Sep 16, 2026
politicsCloses Sep 18, 20264 claims
When will the House leave for its pre-election recess?
politicsCloses Sep 18, 20263 claims
When will Trump release more UFO files?
cryptoCloses Sep 19, 20267 claims
When will Bitcoin cross $85k again?
politicsCloses Sep 19, 20263 claims
How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (8/30 - 9/5)
politics$78.2K
Will Donald Trump attend UFC 331?
6%
Closes Sep 20, 2026
politicsCloses Sep 25, 20262 claims
Which of these parties will win a Riksdag seat?
politicsCloses Sep 25, 20264 claims
When will Hung Cao be confirmed as Secretary of the Navy?
politics$12.4K
How many times will Donald Trump visit Trump National Golf Club Bedminster in Sep 2026?
1%
Closes Sep 30, 2026
politicsCloses Oct 1, 20262 claims
Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced?
politicsCloses Oct 1, 20263 claims
Kash Patel out as FBI Director?
politicsCloses Oct 1, 20263 claims
Will Netanyahu be arrested?
politicsCloses Oct 1, 20263 claims
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement?
politics$46.5K
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy leave President of Ukraine before Oct 1, 2026?
3%
Closes Oct 1, 2026
politicsCloses Oct 1, 20263 claims
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?
politics$26.2K
Will Donald Trump issue any announcement (e.g., Truth Social post) on naming the next White House Press Secretary (including acting/interim) before Oct 1, 2026?
54%
Closes Oct 1, 2026
politics$24.1K
Will the Anaheim Angels naming bill become law?
100%
Closes Oct 1, 2026
politicsCloses Oct 1, 20262 claims
Ruben Gallego out as Senator?
politicsCloses Oct 1, 20262 claims
Will Cory Mills leave the House?
politicsCloses Oct 1, 20263 claims
Will Trump reverse the Lake America renaming?
politicsCloses Oct 1, 20266 claims
Ken Martin out as DNC chair?
politicsCloses Oct 1, 20262 claims
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei?
politicsCloses Oct 1, 20263 claims
Kash Patel departure announced?
politics$9.4K
Will Serbia announce a snap election before Oct 1, 2026?
98%
Closes Oct 1, 2026
politicsCloses Oct 1, 20262 claims
Will Christopher Luxon announce their departure as Prime Minister?
politicsCloses Oct 1, 20262 claims
Will James Comey’s criminal case be dismissed?
politicsCloses Oct 1, 20263 claims
Dan Driscoll out as Secretary of the Army?
politicsCloses Oct 1, 20264 claims
When will Trump's next address to the nation be?
politics$4.3K
Will it be reported by Metropolitan Nashville Airport Authority that the MNAA Board has formally approved renaming Nashville International Airport for Dolly Parton before Oct 1, 2026?
73%
Closes Oct 1, 2026
politicsCloses Oct 1, 20262 claims
When will James McDonald be confirmed as SDNY U.S. attorney?
politicsCloses Oct 1, 20264 claims
Pete Hegseth departure announced?
politicsCloses Oct 1, 20265 claims
When will the next UK parliamentary by-election be called?
politics$3.2K
Will Trump rename any ocean before October?
2%
Closes Oct 1, 2026
politicsCloses Oct 1, 20264 claims