Learn/Markets
Yes, No, and outcome tokens
Every Foreseez market is a binary contract. This explains the two tokens, how buying No works, and why both sides can be the trade.
Aug 31, 2026 · 5 min read
Each market has two outcome tokens: Yes and No. They are the instruments the venue lists on its order book. Foreseez paper-trades those same token ids against the live book.
Buying Yes is a claim the statement resolves true. Buying No is a claim it resolves false. If the market is “Will Candidate A win?”, buying No is not “buying Candidate B.” It is buying “not A.” In a many-candidate event you pick the market for the person, then Yes or No on that person.
Prices should add up, approximately
Yes and No on the same market should sit near 1.00 together. A 0.62 Yes usually means a 0.38 No. Spreads, fees, and stale books can leave a gap. If the two sides add up to something wild, the book is thin or not accepting orders. Do not paper-trade a broken book.
Named outcomes on the desk
Some desk views label the buttons with the candidate or team name instead of Yes and No. “Buy Vance” is still buying the Yes token of the Vance market. “Buy not Vance” is the No token. Same instruments, clearer language.
Keep reading
- What is a prediction market?
A short primer on how prediction markets turn questions into prices, and why those prices are worth reading.
- How to read a probability on a market card
The large percentage on a Foreseez card is an implied probability. Here is what it is, what it is not, and how it updates.
- Reading the order book
Bids, asks, spread, and why a midpoint is not a fill. A practical guide to the ladder on the event desk.